In listening to Michael Moore’s podcast, “Rumble,” he had an interesting thought that warranted sharing.
His idea was this: Although we didn’t retain control of the US House of Representatives in the 2022 Midterm election, it might stay that way over the next two years.
Why?
Because there are two facts in play: 1. Republicans do not have a sizeable majority, and 2. With almost every session of Congress there are US Representatives that resign, switch parties, or, as unfortunate as it is…they die while in office.
Let’s look at the 117th Congress (2021 – 2023).
Republican:
One Representative-elect died before he could be seated.
Four other Representatives died during their term in office.
Four more Representatives resigned before the completion of their terms.
Democrat:
Eight Representatives resigned before the completion of their terms.
One died during their term in office.
As we ready ourselves for the 118th Congress, Republicans will have 222 seats and Democrats have 213.
That’s a 9-seat majority over the Democrats, and a measly 4-seat majority for party control.
Given how many US Representatives were unable to complete their terms, could this 4-seat majority waver over the next 2 years?
Maybe.
While it’s true that the Republicans hold power in Congress, that power is precarious.
